Naimisha Forest
Focused Protection
Eminent professors of epidemiology - Sunetra Gupta (Oxford), Jay Bhattacharya (Stanford), and Martin Kulldorff (Harvard) - have issued a declaration that condemns indefinite 'lockdowns' and calls for a return to a standard 'Public Health 101' approach to COVID-19, which they call 'Focused Protection.'
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Posted in: pandemics
Update on "Law and Order Minorities"
Every so often, Rasmussen breaks out details from its daily tracking poll to show Trump’s “Job Approval” among different ethnic groups. The company’s September 21 poll shows Trump’s national approval at 51%, with 53% among Whites, 39% among Blacks, and 51% for “Other Minorities” (a catch-all group led . . .
The Mystery of the Lockdowns
In “How many lives would a more normal president have saved?” New York Times columnist Ross Douthat wonders how many Americans died because of President Trump’s “abnormal” reluctance to embrace stricter lockdown measures. Douthat’s speculations never get close to the likely correct answer, though, which is . . .
Will "Law-and-Order Minorities" Put Trump Over the Top in 2020?
2020 is when racial identity politics, after creeping up on Democrats for years, finally pounced and ate the party’s entire brain.
- Example: the startling refusal of Democrats at any level to condemn the nationwide “Black Lives Matter” rioting as an unacceptable form of protest.
- Example: picking a Vice President . . .
Death versus Dollars
Are U.S. COVID Outcomes Better than Europe?
Europe has taken a much harsher economic thrashing from COVID-19 than the United States while suffering fewer deaths. How you rate the pandemic performance of these two great polities thus depends on how you value dollars versus deaths. Arguably, the U.S. has done better than Europe.
Eurozone real GDP in April-to-June 2020 was 15.3% . . .
Hello President Trump: Let’s Not Repeat the Economic Tragedy of the 2010s in the 2020s
If President Trump wants to bring the economy quickly back to full employment, he will have to confront the Establishment wing of his Republican party. The clash – if it comes – will be over Establishment Republican hostility to government spending. More spending will be needed to bolster an economy staggering under the blows of . . .
Posted in: conservatismeconomicsfiscal policymacroeconomicsmonetary policynationalismobamapandemicspopulismtrump
The Chinese Emperor's New Economic Clothes
All economic data contain errors, but China’s are a work of art. Like its numbers on COVID-19 infections and deaths, its official economic statistics are political artifacts, carefully devised to cloak the failings and trumpet the superiority of China’s one-party political capitalist system over our liberal-democratic . . .
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